Introduction

The first and further decompensation mark the natural history and the risk of mortality in patients with cirrhosis. We assessed the cumulative incidence of first and further (acute and non-acute) decompensation and evaluated their impact on liver-related death (LR-D) in patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD) due to metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD).

Aims & Methods

International multicenter retrospective study (17 centers) on 6,061 consecutive patients with clinical (LSM>10 kPa) or biopsy-proven (F3-F4 fibrosis) diagnosis of cACLD due to MASLD. First and further decompensation were defined according to Baveno VII criteria. Competing risk analysis by cumulative incidence functions and Cause-specific Cox models with baseline and time-dependent variables were performed. A multistate model was built to better assess the clinical course of cACLD due to MASLD.

Results

The cumulative incidence of the first decompensation was 3.5% (95% C.I 3.0-4.1) at 5 years, increasing 19-fold the risk of LR-D using Cox analysis; the cumulative incidence of further decompensation was 43.9% (95% C.I 37.2-50.2) at 5 years among patients with first decompensation, additionally increasing 1.5-times the risk of LR-D. Ascites, followed by variceal bleeding, were the most common events in both first and further decompensation. Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) further independently increased the risk of LR-D by 3- and 1.4-fold in the whole cohort of cACLD due to MASLD and in those who experienced first decompensation, respectively.

Conclusion

The first and further decompensations represent tipping points in the clinical course of patients with cACLD due to MASLD, increasing 19-times and additionally 1.5-times the risk of LR-D. HCC is an independent predictor of LR-D in patients with cACLD due to MASLD, resulting in an additional risk of LR-D when associated with both first and further decompensation.

Introduction

Biliary strictures are usually caused by malignancies such as Cholangiocarcinoma (CCA) or Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma (PDAC). 70% of these neoplasms are diagnosed at advanced stages due to late-onset symptoms, lack of biomarkers, and challenges in obtaining histological samples. Curative surgical resection with adjuvant therapy is the first-line treatment, but 20% of cases are resectable at diagnosis and 80% relapse within 3 years^1,2. The impact of systemic therapies on overall survival remains limited, however new targeted therapies have shown remarkable efficacy in patients with actionable mutations based on tumor genetic profiling. Clinical guidelines advocate multigene panel analysis of tumor tissue prior to or during first-line treatment^3,4, considering that 40% of CCA patients and around 25% of PDAC patients harbor actionable genetic mutations^5,6. When tumor tissue is insufficient, liquid biopsies using cfDNA can be considered³. Liquid biopsy of bile, collected during an Endoscopic Retrograde Cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) in malignant biliary stricture cases, could potentially detect therapeutic targets.

Aims & Methods

This prospective proof-of-concept pilot study aims to assess NGS-based cfDNA analysis in bile as a novel liquid biopsy for detecting genetic mutations, and specifically actionable mutations, compared to tissue NGS.
19 CCA and 9 PDAC patients with malignant biliary stenosis undergoing ERCP in a tertiary hospital (2017-2020) were included. Bile samples were collected during the first ERCP and the Pathological Anatomy department selected tissue samples with ≥40% tumor content. Massive sequencing of DNA libraries was performed using the Pan-Cancer Panel^TM (52-genes) for bile samples, and the Oncomine^TM Comprehensive Assay Panel v3 (161 genes) for tissue.

Results

Concerning CCA patients, bile NGS identified all patients with mutations (19/19) opposite to 84.3% (16/19) of patients in tissue. Bile NGS identified 7 patients (37%) with actionable mutations, none was detected in tissue. We detected 47/49 mutations in bile NGS vs. 22/49 in tissue. High concordance was observed: 91% (20/22) of tissue mutations were also in bile. Regarding actionable mutations considered in ESMO guidelines³; 7 were detected in bile NGS, none detected in tissue. The actionable mutations identified were ERBB2 (5), IDH2 (1), and KRAS^G12C(1).
In the PDAC group, bile NGS identified 89% (8/9) of patients with mutations, compared to 66.6% (6/9) of patients in tissue. Bile NGS identified 5 patients (55%) with actionable mutations vs. 4 (44%) in tissue. Bile NGS detected 16/18 mutations in bile in contrast to 12/18 in tissue. High concordance was observed: 83.3% (10/12) of tissue mutations were also in bile. NGS in bile detected 6 actionable mutations considered in ESMO guidelines^4,; KRAS^G12D (5) and ERBB3, compared to 4 in tissue; KRAS^G12D.

Conclusion

These results highlight the potential of bile liquid biopsy in detecting actionable mutations; bile NGS increased the diagnosis sensibility and the number of mutations detected, compared with tissue NGS, which could allow more patients to be considered for targeted therapies. This approach does not require histological material consumption and collecting bile during an ERCP is simple and secure. In addition, NGS technology is available in all molecular laboratories. We consider that the application of liquid biopsy in bile can be accessible and an effective tool, with direct and immediate clinical implementation, improving precision medicine strategies and the therapeutic management of CCA and PDAC patients with biliary stenosis.

References

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