Introduction
Hepatic decompensation in patients with cirrhosis represents a critical point in the clinical course of the disease, associated with a significant increase in morbidity and mortality. 1 Common clinical manifestations of decompensation include ascites, hepatic encephalopathy, and variceal bleeding.2 Cystatin C, a low molecular weight cysteine protease inhibitor produced by all nucleated cells, has emerged as a reliable endogenous marker of glomerular filtration rate (GFR). Unlike serum creatinine, cystatin C is not significantly influenced by age, sex, muscle mass, or dietary protein intake, making it a more precise indicator of renal function—particularly in populations with altered muscle mass, such as those with chronic liver disease.3 Beyond its role in renal assessment, cystatin C has demonstrated prognostic value in various clinical settings, including cardiovascular disease, sepsis, and general critical illness4,5; however, patients with liver cirrhosis have been underrepresented in these cohorts.
Aims & Methods
Prospective longitudinal study including 62 patients with confirmed Child-Pugh class A or B cirrhosis. Serum cystatin C levels were measured at baseline by ELISA (mg/L), using <0.95 mg/L as the normal cutoff. Patients were followed for 6 months to detect decompensation events. Clinical and biochemical variables (age, sex, creatinine, albumin) were analyzed using quartile stratification, linear trend tests, Pearson’s chi-squared test, and diagnostic performance metrics (odds ratio, sensitivity, specificity, likelihood ratios).
Results
Table 1. Clinical and Biochemical Characteristics According to Hepatic Decompensation During Follow-Up.
| Variable | Total (n = 62) | With decompensation (n =27) | Without decompensation (n = 35) |
Age (mean ± SD, years)
| 58.05 ± 11.4
| 59.1 ± 10.9
| 57.2 ± 11.9
|
Male sex, n (%)
| 32 (51.6%)
| 14 (43%)
| 18(56%) |
Serum cystatin C (mg/L, mean ± SD)
| 1.07 ± 0.42
| 1.25 ± 0.40
| 0.90 ± 0.40
|
Elevated cystatin C (>0.95 mg/L), n (%)
| 35 (56.4)
| 22 (81.5)
| 20 (57.1) |
Serum albumin (g/dL, mean ± SD)
| 3.1 ± 0.5
| 2.8 ± 0.5
| 3.4 ± 0.4
|
Creatinine/cystatin C ratio (mean ± SD)
| 8.7 ± 5.8
| 7.6 ± 5.1
| 9.7 ± 6.1
|
Main etiology: Alcoholic liver disease, n (%)
| 26 (41.9)
| 12 (44.4)
| 14 (40.0)
|
Of 62 patients (32 men, 51.6%; mean age 58.05 ± 11.4 years), major etiologies were alcohol use (41.9%), metabolic liver disease (38.7%), and autoimmune disease (19.3%). Patients with infectious or undefined etiologies were excluded.
During follow-up, 27 patients (43.5%) developed at least one decompensation event (ascites, encephalopathy, or variceal bleeding). Among them, 81.5% had elevated cystatin C (mean 1.25 ± 0.40 mg/L) versus non-decompensated (mean 0.9 ± 0.40 mg/L, p<0.001). Chi-square analysis showed a significant association (χ² = 4.132; p = 0.042), supported by likelihood ratio (χ² = 4.293; p = 0.038) and linear-by-linear association (χ² = 4.065; p = 0.044). The estimated OR was 3.3.
Decompensated patients had a lower creatinine/cystatin ratio (mean 7.6 ± 5.1 vs 9.7 ± 6.1), though not statistically significant (p=0.162). Albumin levels were lower (2.8 ± 0.5 g/dL vs 3.4 ± 0.4 g/dL, p<0.001).
Quartile analysis showed a higher risk of decompensation in the highest cystatin C quartile (>1.25 mg/L; p<0.001, linear trend), even after excluding patients with eGFR <60 mL/min/1.73 m². This trend was confirmed by linear-by-linear association (χ² = 39.88; df = 1; p < 0.001).
Conclusion
Cystatin C is significantly associated with the development of decompensation events in patients with chronic liver disease, providing an OR of 3.3 and a consistent dose-response trend across quartiles. Although the final sample size was relatively small due to exclusions for loss to follow-up or incomplete biochemical studies, the results were statistically significant and clinically relevant. These findings, based on a prospective design and strict follow-up, suggest that cystatin C could be a prognostic marker, and its inclusion in clinical practice warrants prospective validation.
References
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5. Luo J, Wang LP, Hu HF, Zhang L, Li YL, Ai LM, et al. Cystatin C and cardiovascular or all-cause mortality risk in the general population: a meta-analysis. Clin Chim Acta. 2015 Oct 23;450:39–45. doi: 10.1016/j.cca.2015.07.016.
Disclosure
I declare that I have no conflicts of interest related to this work.