Introduction
Inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) is a chronic autoinflammatory disease with no known cure, characterized by chronic inflammation and ulcers in the gastrointestinal tract.[1] IBD has historically been observed in industrialized societies and is now on the rise in regions undergoing rapid industrialization.[2] Measuring and describing IBD trends are crucial due to the high disease burden, healthcare costs, and impact on quality of life. Accurate descriptions of disease patterns can inform research and public health agendas, and improve healthcare preparedness worldwide.
Aims & Methods
This report focuses on the temporal and geographical trends of IBD in terms of incidence and prevalence. Prevalence and incidence data of ulcerative colitis (UC) and Crohn’s disease (CD) are extracted from population-based studies identified through a series of systematic literature reviews. A total of 92 sources of prevalence and 174 sources of incidence were identified. We analyzed all data using DisMod-MR 2.1, a Bayesian meta-regression tool to estimate both prevalence and incidence.[3] We also conducted a decomposition analysis to evaluate the impact of population growth and aging in the prevalence changes between 1990 and 2021.
Results
In 2021, 3.84 million (95% Uncertainty level 3.29 to 4.43) people were estimated to be living with IBD globally. Of these, 1.43 million (1.16 to 1.73) were living with CD and 2.41 million (2.02 to 2.95) with UC. The global all-age prevalence of CD, UC, and IBD in 2021 were 18.1 (14.6 to 21.8), and 30.5 (25.5 to 37.3), 48.6 (41.6 to 55.9) per 100,000, respectively. The global all-age incidence of IBD increased from 3.7 (3.3 to 4.4) per 100,000 in 1990 to 4.8 (4.2 to 5.6) per 100,000 In 2021. The incidence of IBD has shown a slight increase in high-income super-region, resulting in a relatively small rise in prevalence in this region. The all-age IBD incidence rate in high-income super-region increased by 23.2% from 12.5 (11.1 to 14.3) per 100,000 in 1990 to 15.4 (13.8 to 17.4) per 100,000 in 2021, and the all-age prevalence rate in this region also increased by 25.5% from 157 (139 to 175) per 100,000 in 1990 to 197 (171 to 221) per 100,000 in 2021. In contrast, our study found that low-income regions, such as Southeast Asia, East Asia, and Oceania, experienced a much larger increase in the incidence and prevalence rates of IBD over the same period. The all-age IBD incidence rate in this region rapidly increased by 118.3% from 0.646 (0.546 to 0.783) per 100,000 to 1.41 (1.23 to 1.69) per 100,000, and the all-age IBD prevalence rate more than doubled from 5.32 (4.54 to 6.32) per 100,000 to 11.8 (9.8 to 14.0) per 100,000.
Conclusion
Overall, IBD is becoming more prevalent globally. Although incidence and prevalence of IBD in high-income countries have been relatively stable, with rising mean estimates but overlapping 95% uncertainty intervals, many lower-income countries have experienced a notable rise in both measures. This larger increase may be attributable to changes in lifestyle and diet associated with industrialization and urbanization. Population growth in low-income countries, such as sub-Saharan Africa, played a significant role in driving the increase in prevalent IBD cases, while population aging was the dominant factor in high-income countries, particularly in Europe. These findings highlight the complex interplay between socio-demographic factors and IBD prevalence and emphasize the need for tailored interventions in different regions based on their unique characteristics.
References
1. Meenakshi Bewtra, Chinyu Su, and James D. Lewis, “Trends in Hospitalization Rates for Inflammatory Bowel Disease in the United States,” Clinical Gastroenterology and Hepatology: The Official Clinical Practice Journal of the American Gastroenterological Association 5, no. 5 (May 2007): 597–601, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cgh.2007.01.015.
2. Gilaad G. Kaplan and Siew C. Ng, “Globalisation of Inflammatory Bowel Disease: Perspectives from the Evolution of Inflammatory Bowel Disease in the UK and China,” The Lancet. Gastroenterology & Hepatology 1, no. 4 (December 2016): 307–16, https://doi.org/10.1016/S2468-1253(16)30077-2.
3. Theo Vos et al., “Global Burden of 369 Diseases and Injuries in 204 Countries and Territories, 1990–2019: A Systematic Analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019,” The Lancet 396, no. 10258 (October 2020): 1204–22, https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30925-9.