Introduction

The global prevalence of Helicobacter pylori (HP) infection is almost 43% and affects almost 18% of Italians [1, 2]. The literature describes several endoscopic signs detectable during upper-GI endoscopy that may predict HP status [3]; however, in clinical practice, random biopsies according to the Sydney system are still widely used for its determination.

Aims & Methods

The aim of our study is to investigate the role of Regular arrangement of collecting venules (RAC) assessment, during upper-GI endoscopies, for predicting HP status. We conducted a monocentric prospective study including patients who underwent upper-GI endoscopy for any indications from August 2024 to February 2025. Upper-GI endoscopies were performed according to standard of care [4], with high-definition scopes and after adequate cleaning [5]. Exclusion criteria were autoimmune gastritis, antibiotics within the previous 4 weeks, gastric surgery, previous endoscopic submucosal resection, upper-GI neoplasms, age <18 years, severe liver/kidney disease and previous known HP infection. Every procedure was performed by 6 endoscopists trained in recognition of all typical endoscopic signs of healthy stomach or HP infection: RAC, fundic gland polyps, linear streaks, hematin spots and diffuse redness prior to data collection. HP infection was investigated by histological evaluation by bioptic sampling, obtained according to the Sydney criteria.

Results

From 429 enrolled patients, 244 patients were included, according to inclusion criteria (M 124, 50.8%, median age 54.9, IQR 41.9-65.0). The prevalence of H. pylori infection was 15.5% (38/244). The presence of RAC in both greater and lesser curvature was observed in 63.1% (154/244) of cases, gland polyps in 19.6% (48/244), linear streaks in 15.5% (38/244), hematin spots in 15.9% (39/244) and diffuse redness in 9% (22/244). The presence of RAC, gland polyps and diffuse redness were significantly associated with higher prevalence of HP infection (p<0.001). The best performance was obtained from the presence of RAC in both greater and lesser curvature (AUROC 0.808, p<0.001) with a sensitivity (SEN), specificity (SPE), NPV and PPV respectively of 82.7% (64.2-94.1), 78.8% (72.3-84.4), 96,2% (92-98.3) and 40.8% (33.3-48.7). At multivariate analysis it confirmed to be related to HP-negative status (p=0.01, OR 0.04 95%CI: 0.005-0.481). Lastly, the presence of RAC showed a higher performance in males (AUROC 0.836, SEN 86.6% 59.5-98.3, SPE 80.6% 71.4-87.9, NPV 97.1% 90.3-99.2, PPV 44.1% 33.4-55.3) and in young patients (AUROC 0.846, SEN 80% 51.9-95.6, SPE 89.2% 81.1-94.7, NPV 96.2% 90.1-98.6, PPV 56.7% 40.9-71.3). As expected, the presence of RAC required a very short observation time (29.3 ± 11.0 versus 34.7 ± 11.7 seconds; p=0,001).

Conclusion

The presence of RAC in both the greater and lesser curvatures is the most important and reliable indicator of HP-negative status, and the time required for the evaluation is minimal. Our findings may represent a first step toward avoiding unnecessary random biopsies, promoting a more accurate endoscopic examination focused on the careful assessment of the gastric mucosa

References

1. Chen YC, et al. Global Prevalence of Helicobacter pylori Infection and Incidence of Gastric Cancer Between 1980 and 2022. Gastroenterology, 2024
2. Zullo A, et al. Upper Endoscopy in Patients with Extra-Oesophageal Reflux Symptoms: A Multicentre Study. GE Port J Gastroenterol, 2020
3. Seo JY, et al. Predicting Helicobacter pylori infection from endoscopic features. Korean J Intern Med, 2024
4. Bisschops R, et al. Performance measures for upper gastrointestinal endoscopy: a European Society of Gastrointestinal Endoscopy (ESGE) Quality Improvement Initiative. Endoscopy, 2016
5. Manfredi G, et al. Premedication with simethicone and N-acetylcysteine for improving mucosal visibility during upper gastrointestinal endoscopy in a Western population. Endosc Int Open, 2021

Introduction

Acute biliary pancreatitis (ABP) has been shown to be associated with increasing incidence and health-care costs, and possibly higher mortality than other etiologies. Despite the existence of various scoring systems, early and accurate risk stratification remains difficult. Due to heterogeneity of populations, focusing on one etiology might reveal important insights concerning predictors of outcome.

Aims & Methods

We conducted a retrospective, multicenter cohort study including all patients admitted with ABP between 2018 and 2021 at two hospitals. Epidemiological, clinical, and outcome data were analyzed. The main clinical outcome of interest was a hierarchical composite endpoint of five mutually exclusive clinical states: (i) death (90-day all-cause mortality), (ii) severe AP and/or admission to the intensive care unit (ICU), (iii) endoscopic, interventional radiological, or surgical interventions, (iv) moderately-severe AP, (v) mild AP. Univariable logistic regression identified parameters associated with worse outcomes, which were then tested in multivariable models. Emphasis was placed on early availability and clinical practicality of predictors. We aimed to stratify patients into outcome trajectories reflecting both health impact and healthcare resource utilization.

Results

Out of 569 total acute pancreatitis cases, 217 (38.1%) patients had ABP (mean age 65.9 ±17.4 years; median length of stay (LOS) 7 days, IQR 4;11) Mild, moderately-severe, and severe disease occurred in 62.2%, 30.0%, and 7.8% of patients. All-cause 90-day mortality was 2.3%. Several parameters were significantly (p<0.05) associated with worse outcomes, including BISAP and the Charlson comorbidity index (CCI) (p<0.001). Individually, BISAP and CCI classified patients reasonably, however, wide prognostic uncertainty persisted. When combining BISAP and CCI (BISAP-C), 5 discrete risk groups were identified, ranging from low (group 1, BISAP 0-2 & CCI 0-2) to very-high risk (group 5, BISAP 3-5 & CCI ≥6) (see Table 1). The prevalence of severe outcomes (i–iii) increased across these strata: 2.4% (Group 1), 9.5% (Group 2), 27.3% (Group 3), 60% (Group 4), and 62.5% (Group 5), with LOS also significantly longer in higher-risk groups (p<0.001). Mortality was 50% in group 5, while, importantly, 97.6% of patients in group 1 experienced mild-to-moderate AP without ICU admission, persistent organ dysfunction, surgical or endoscopic interventions, and no fatality, supporting potential early discharge. This also occurred in 90.5% of group 2. Notably, Groups 1 and 2 together comprised nearly 80% of the cohort.

Conclusion

Comorbidity seems to play a major role concerning worse outcomes in ABP. The combination of CCI and BISAP (BISAP-C), both comprised of early-on and easily available parameters, offers improved early prognostic discrimination and may provide tailored, individualized management and healthcare resource utilization.