Introduction
Eosinophilic esophagitis (EoE) is a chronic inflammatory and progressive fibrotic condition of the esophagus characterized by the infiltration of eosinophils into the esophageal mucosa and esophageal dysfunction. There remain limited treatment options for EoE and accordingly, a substantial unmet need for effective and safe medical therapies. Drug development in EoE has been hampered by heterogeneous placebo response rates, especially for clinical outcomes, and uncertainty regarding appropriate endpoint configurations. Accurate characterization of placebo response in EoE randomized controlled trials (RCTs) will help inform more future efficient trial designs.
Aims & Methods
To conduct a systematic review and meta-analysis to characterize symptomatic, endoscopic, and histologic placebo response rates in placebo controlled EoE RCTs.
Electronic database (CENTRAL, MEDLINE, EMBASE) searching (inception to 1 JAN 2024) identified placebo controlled RCTs evaluating medical therapies for adults with EoE. Studies were screened independently by 2 reviewers (AR and SA), and full texts were then reviewed for eligibility. The proportion of clinical, endoscopic, and histologic responders (improvement and remission) assigned to placebo were pooled using a random-effect model. The Stuart-Ord inverse double arcsine square root transformation method was used to compute 95% confidence intervals (CI) for point estimates of placebo response. Heterogeneity was evaluated using the I2 method. Analyses were conducted in StatsDirect 3.3.6.
Results
A total of 25 placebo-controlled RCTs (placebo sample size range: N = 4–105) were included. The pooled proportion of patients receiving placebo who achieved clinical response was 41.0% (n = 11; 95% CI 29.7%, 52.8%) with substantial heterogeneity (I2 = 74.9%%). Definitions of clinical response varied between studies. The pooled proportion for histologic remission (peak eosinophil count [PEC] ≤6 eos per high power field [hpf]) was 4.3% (n = 20; 95% CI 2.6%, 6.2%) with low heterogeneity (I2 = 23.6%), while a more stringent definition of histologic remission (PEC ≤1 eos/hpf) yielded a pooled placebo remission rate of 1.3% (n = 18; 95% CI 0.5%, 2.5%) with low heterogeneity (I2 = 0%). The pooled histologic improvement rate was 6.2% (n = 15; 95% CI 3.3%, 10.0%) with substantial heterogeneity (I2 = 50.6%). Limited studies reported on endoscopic improvement and remission (Table 1).
Conclusion
More than 1 in 3 patients assigned to placebo in EoE RCTs will achieve clinical response (substantial heterogeneity detected), while less than 1 in 10 of these patients will achieve histologic remission (low heterogeneity detected). These findings highlight 1) the need to develop validated and responsive patient-reported outcome measures, which may be difficult due to the episodic nature of symptoms in EoE; and 2) the challenge of using a coprimary clinical and histologic outcome in EoE RCTs, given the discordance between symptoms and objective disease activity measures.
Table 1. Pooled proportion of placebo patients achieving measured outcomes in EoE studies
Outcome Measured in Placebo Patients (n = number of studies) | Sample Size (range) | Pooled Proportion% (95% CI) | Heterogeneity, I2% (95% CI) |
Clinical Response/Improvement (n =11) | 6 to 105 | 41.0 (29.7, 52.8) | 74.9 (49, 84.8) |
Clinical Remission (n = 9) | 4 to 33 | 13.8 (5.9, 24.3) | 66.2 (12.2, 81.6) |
Endoscopic Response/Improvement (n = 3) | 6 to 19 | 25.1 (12.4, 40.5) | 0 (0, 72.9) |
Endoscopic Remission (n = 3) | 9 to 29 | 2.8 (0.06, 9.6) | 9.1 (0, 75.3) |
Histologic Response/Improvement (≤ 15 eos/hpf, n = 15) | 6 to 105 | 6.2 (3.3, 10.0) | 50.6 (0, 71.3) |
Histologic Remission (n = 24) ≤ 6 eos/hpf (n = 20) ≤ 1 eos/hpf (n = 18) | 6 to 105 | 4.3 (2.6, 6.2) 1.3 (0.5, 2.5) | 23.6 (0, 55.2) 0 (0, 43.7) |
Disclosure
AR: No conflicts of interest
SA: No conflicts of interest
YY: No conflicts of interest
AQ: Is an employee of Alimentiv Inc.
DBO: Is an employee of Alimentiv Inc.
BGF: consulting fees from AbbVie, Abivax, Adiso, AgomAB Therapeutics, Allianthera, Amgen, AnaptysBio, Arena Pharma, Avoro Capital Advisors, Atomwise,, BioJamp, Biora Therapeutics, Blackbird Laboratories,Boehringer-Ingelheim, Boxer Capital, Celsius Therapeutics, Celgene/BMS, Celltrion, Connect BioPharma, Cytoki, Disc Medicine, Duality, EcoR1, Eli Lilly, Equillium, Ermium, First Wave, Forbion, Galapagos, Galen Atlantica, Genentech/Roche, Gilead, Gossamer Pharma, GSK, Hinge Bio, Index Pharma, Imhotex, Immunic Therapeutics, Intercept, JAKAcademy, Janssen, Japan Tobacco Inc., Kaleido Biosciences, Klick Health, Landos Biopharma, Lenczner Slaght, LifeSci Capital, Lument AB, Mage Biologics, Mestag, Millennium, MiroBio, Monte Rose Tx, Morgan Lewis, Morphic Therapeutics, Mylan, Nexys Therapeutics, Nimbus Therapeutics, OM Pharma, OrbiMed Origo BioPharma, Orphagen, Pandion Therapeutics, Pendopharm, Pfizer, Prometheus Therapeutics and Diagnostics (Merck), Progenity, Protagonist, PTM Therapeutics, Q32 Bio, Rebiotix, REDX, Roche, Roivant/Televant, Sandoz, Sanofi, Seres Therapeutics, Silverback Therapeutics, Sobi, Spyre Therapeutics, Surrozen Inc., Sun Pharma, Synedgen, Takeda, Teva, Thelium, Tigenix, Tillotts, Triastek, TR1X Inc. Ventyx Biosciences, Zagbio, Zealand Pharma. Speaker fees from AbbVie, Janssen, Takeda.
VJ: consulting/advisory board fees from AbbVie, Alimentiv, Arena pharmaceuticals, Asahi Kasei Pharma, Asieris, Anaptyis Bio, Astra Zeneca, Avoro Capital, Bristol Myers Squibb, Celltrion, Eli Lilly, Endpoint Health, Enthera, Ferring, Flagship Pioneering, Fresenius Kabi, Galapagos, Gilde Healthcare, GlaxoSmithKline, Genentech, Gilead, Innomar, JAMP, Janssen, Merck, Metacrine, Mylan, Pandion, Pendopharm, Pfizer, Protagonist, Prometheus Biosciences, Reistone Biopharma, Roche, Roivant, Sandoz, Second Genome, Sorriso, Synedgen, Takeda, TD Securities, Teva, Topivert, Ventyx, Vividion; and speaker’s fees from, Abbvie, Ferring, Bristol Myers Squibb, Galapagos, Janssen Pfizer Shire, Takeda, Fresenius Kabi.
AJB: AJB received research funding from Nutricia, Thelial, Sanofi/Regeneron, SST, and Dr. Falk Pharma and received speaker and/or consulting fees from Laborie, Medtronic, BMS, Dr. Falk Pharma, Calypso Biotech, Eupraxia, Aqilion, Alimentiv, Sanofi/Regeneron, Reckitt and AstraZeneca
ESD: Research funding: Adare/Ellodi, Allakos, Arena/Pfizer, AstraZeneca, Eupraxia, Ferring, GSK, Meritage, Miraca, Nutricia, Celgene/Receptos/BMS, Regeneron, Revolo, Shire/Takeda
Consultant: Abbott, Abbvie, Adare/Ellodi, Aimmune, Akesobio, Alfasigma, ALK, Allakos, Amgen, Apollo, Aqilion, Arena/Pfizer, Aslan, AstraZeneca, Avir, Biorasi, Calypso, Celgene/Receptos/BMS, Celldex, Eli Lilly, EsoCap, Eupraxia, Dr. Falk Pharma, Ferring, GSK, Gossamer Bio, Holoclara, Invea, Knightpoint, Landos, LucidDx, Morphic, Nexstone Immunology/Uniquity, Nutricia, Parexel/Calyx, Phathom, Regeneron, Revolo, Robarts/Alimentiv, Salix, Sanofi, Shire/Takeda, Target RWE, Upstream Bio
Educational grant: Allakos, Aqilion, Holoclara, Invea
CM: consulting fees from AbbVie, Alimentiv, Amgen, AVIR Pharma Inc, Bristol Myers Squibb, Celltrion, Eli Lilly, Ferring, Fresenius Kabi, Janssen, McKesson, Mylan, Pendopharm, Pfizer, Prometheus Biosciences Inc., Roche, Sanofi, Takeda, Tillotts Pharma; speaker's fees from AbbVie, Amgen, AVIR Pharma Inc, Alimentiv, Bristol Myers Squibb, Eli Lilly, Ferring, Fresenius Kabi, Janssen, Organon, Pendopharm, Pfizer, Sanofi, Takeda, Tillotts Pharma; royalties from Springer Publishing; research support from AbbVie, Ferring, Pfizer.